Wednesday, August 31, 2011

China-Latin America Military Engagement

The U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute recently published a report entitled “China-Latin America Military Engagement: Good Will, Good Business, and Strategic Position.” The report was written by Dr. R. Evan Ellis, Assistant Professor at the Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies. Dr. Ellis argues that over the past few years China “has expanded its military ties with Latin America in multiple important ways, consistent with its own public declarations of intention.”

He identifies five main types of military engagement in Latin America: “(1) meetings between senior military officials, (2) lower-level military-to-military interactions, (3) military sales, (4) military-relevant commercial interactions, and (5) Chinese physical presence within Latin America with military-strategic implications.”

Ellis goes on to argue that China’s increasing military interactions in Latin America shouldn’t necessarily be considered a problem or a threat. In many cases, China is pursuing “arguably legitimate national security interests, while remaining attentive to the United States...” It is “building good will, understanding, and political leverage among important commercial partners and technology sources, creating the tools to protect PRC interests in countries where it does business, selling Chinese products and moving up the value-added chain in strategically important sectors.”


As China-Latin America military engagement grows in volume and sophistication, however, Ellis urges the US to work with China to achieve greater transparency and to engage China in a positive fashion regarding its pursuits in Latin America. The United States, he says, must also improve its understanding of China’s growing military engagement in the region.

You’ll find a copy of Dr. Ellis’ report HERE.

Thursday, August 25, 2011

China: Domestic vs. International Mining Operations

In yesterday’s Financial Times, journalist Leslie Cook reported on China’s recent efforts to enforce stricter regulations on the mining of rare earths.

China produces the vast majority (approximately ninety percent) of rare earths globally, with mining taking place primarily in Inner Mongolia, Jiangxi, Guangxi, and Guangdong provinces. This month’s and previous attempts to regulate rare earths mining in China have generated tremendous concern among global consumers who fear shortages and price fluctuations.


Mining of rare earths has become a cottage industry in certain provinces, according to Cook. Farmers in China’s countryside build makeshift mines by mixing chemicals with the clay in their backyards. They are able to extract rare earths from the mix, but the remaining sludge contains radioactive tailings and toxic acids that are seriously harmful to the environment.

According to the article, China is planning to consolidate rare earths mining under three big state-owned companies – Baogang, Chinalco, and Minmetals – which also are responsible for many of China’s mining projects in Latin America and elsewhere in the world.  Consolidation would presumably help to regulate the industry and to enforce environmental standards.

This most recent crackdown is thought to be the strictest of a series of efforts over the past two years to limit environmental damage and resource depletion in the abovementioned provinces. But many feel that the crackdown on small producers is simply a calculated effort to provide China’s powerful, state-owned companies with a much larger share of the profitable rare earths sector.

Others applaud Beijing’s environmental stance, but fear that recent regulations aren’t enough or won’t be enforceable. Most students of China and Chinese know the saying: 上有政策, 下有对策, shangyouzhengce, xiayouduice. It means local governments often find ways to either circumvent or apply central government policies according to their own interests.

Local governments and residents certainly seem to be circumventing Beijing’s rare earths clean-up efforts. According to the FT article, it is still fairly easy to find illegal rare earths mines operating in Jiangxi province, for example, even though provincial officials have imposed strict regulations. Some of the largest mines are owned by the same local government officials responsible for the recent crackdown.

Domestic vs. International Mining Projects

What is striking about China’s many domestic mining woes is not that they exist, but that they aren’t necessarily evident in China’s mining operations abroad.

As Universidad del Pacífico scholar Cynthia Sanborn explains in her book La economía China y las industrias extractivas: desafíos para el Perú, mining operations in China – whether of rare earths, coal, or other minerals – are well known for their negative environmental impact, low levels of transparency, high rates of on-the-job accidents, and insufficient workers' rights. On top of this, China’s nascent civil society is generally unable to demand greater social and environmental responsibility from the State or Chinese companies.  

Some measures -- like the rare earths controls mentioned above -- are being taken to address environmental and safety concerns in China’s mining sector. But corruption, illicit operations, and enforcement challenges continue to impede effective implementation.

When China’s firms go abroad, however, they are often held to higher standards – both by Beijing and the country in which they are operating. China engages in complex, long-term negotiations with host countries and communities before securing access to mining rights. Illicit backyard mining operations are definitely not the norm.

The firms that lead China’s international mining operations (Chinalco, Zijin, Minmetals, etc) receive substantial direction from Beijing regarding environmental, labor-related, and social impact while abroad. These firms are playing an increasingly significant role in China's broader efforts to build a positive global image. 

According to Sanborn, Chinese companies in Peru, Chile, and Brazil have made great efforts in recent years to address the social and environmental concerns of workers, local leaders, and local communities. Moody’s analysts even believe that Chinese and Western extractive firms generally display similar levels of corporate responsibility when working abroad.

China’s performance is less admirable, of course, in places like Sudan or the DRC, where rule of law and civil liberties are lacking, and where extractive sector profits serve to support corrupt governments. In these countries, Sanborn argues, China is less likely to take the initiative to design socially and environmentally responsible projects. China’s operations could also have negative consequences in countries like Venezuela and Ecuador, which lack strong institutions to control mining-related corruption or monitor China’s environmental impact.

Nor has China's impact been entirely positive in South America's other resource-rich countries. Many have experienced negative consquences associated with China's insatiable demand for commodities. But China's mining record abroad is nonetheless significantly better than its domestic one.

The saying in Chinese, 高皇帝远 (shangaohuangdiyuan), suggests that mountains are high and the emperor is far away, or that connections between the central government and Chinese citizens living far from Beijing are weak, and that law enforcement in remote areas is lax. But despite their distance, China's mining giants are generally adhering to not only to Beijing's, but also to host government directives.

In countries like Peru, Chile, and Brazil, China’s SOEs remain under the watchful eye of rights-sensitive governments and fairly well-organized civil societies. The same, unfortunately, cannot be said for China’s domestic mining operations.




Monday, August 15, 2011

Gauging the effect of Humala's windfall tax...

Peru's new president, Ollanta Humala, is planning to implement a windfall tax on mining company profits. How might this tax effect China's current and future investment in Peru's extractive sector?  Find out HERE.

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Mr. Gou goes to Latin America

On August 6th, the Financial Times featured an article on Taiwan electronics firm, Foxconn (富士康科技集團), and its founder, Terry Gou. Foxconn controls close to half of the world’s outsourced technology products, including a number of Apple favorites (iPads, iPhones, etc).

According to the article, Mr. Gou recently announced a plan to place one million robots on Foxconn’s production lines. Automated production, he believes, will generate growth – the company made $80 billion in revenue last year, but is finding it hard to expand its market share.

Before Terry Gou ever announced his fondness for robo-employees, Foxconn was already seeking greater efficiency and market access through global expansion. In addition to production facilities in “greater China” (where it employs nearly one million people), Foxconn also operates in Europe, Australia, the United States, and Latin America. The company’s relatively new Latin American ventures (currently limited to Brazil and Mexico) provide greater access to local markets and close proximity to North American consumers.

Source: Foxconn web site

Foxconn is now contemplating an additional investment of $12 billion in Brazil, which was first announced by President Dilma Rousseff during her visit to mainland China in April of this year. The company already operates at a limited capacity in the South American country, but the proposed investment would significantly expand production capabilities. New investments would offer Foxconn direct access to Brazil’s market and a means of avoiding the country’s notoriously high tariffs.

If the deal goes through, it would be Foxconn’s largest global investment. But the company's leadership has hesitated in recent months.  Mr. Gou expressed concern about a culture in which “there’s all that dancing” and “as soon as they hear ‘soccer,’ they stop working.” Foxconn has asked the Brazilian government for certain labor and infrastructure guarantees and may eventually reduce the amount it is willing to invest.

Foxconn’s Mexico production is based near Ciudad Juarez. Its massive facility employs approximately 8,000 workers from nearby towns. The company’s presence was warmly welcomed by politicians in both Chihuahua and New Mexico, but faced controversy after a disgruntled worker set fire to the facility’s activities center.  

Further expansion into Latin America – though certainly welcome – isn’t guaranteed. Foxconn’s founder seems to prefer Chinese manufacturing, even despite rising labor costs and the recent Shenzhen tragedy. Chinese laborers are thought to be very skilled, to tolerate more, and to work longer hours than many of their foreign counterparts. Mr. Gou believes that rising labor costs can be offset by a move to China's cheaper inland provinces.

China’s remarkable distribution network is yet another advantage – shipments from China to the US are generally cheaper even than shipments from Brazil.

But as Foxconn and other firms look to expand market share, Latin America’s emerging markets are bound to receive more attention. Although fresh foreign investment in the country's stock market has slowed (especially in the investor exodus this week), foreign direct investment in Brazil has increased steadily over the past year. As one of the fastest growing BRICS countries, its consumer market is attractive to investors. The country’s Mercosur affiliation also allows for tax-free export of certain goods to other member countries.

Mexico, for its part, boasts proximity to the US and a skilled labor force. Its manufacturing sector grew thirty percent in the first three months of this year and its share of US imports is also on the rise.

As for Mr. Gou’s cultural bias: if he ultimately decides to replace many of Foxconn’s workers with robots, futebol (fútbol) fanaticism and a proclivity for dancing should no longer be of tremendous concern.